Falcon Risk Lab™ – Risk Simulator

Exposure and drawdown simulator for one-direction grid strategies.

Informational/technical tool. This is not financial advice. The simulation is simplified and does not include spread, commissions, or swap.

This simulator is built upon the risk management philosophy applied in Falcon FX SecureTrade^®.

How to use it (in 60 seconds):

• Choose a drawdown tolerance: DD 20% / DD 25% / DD 35%
  (This changes only the drawdown tolerance, not the calculations.)
• Choose Lot Mode:
  • 🏦 Broker Mode: realistic simulation with rounding to minimum lot sizes allowed by brokers.
  • 🧪 Theoretical Mode: pure mathematical calculation, useful for advanced technical analysis.
• Enter Capital (€): the capital you want to simulate.
• Enter Start Lot: the lot size of the first grid order.
• Set Step (pips): distance between one level and the next.
• Set Martingale (%): percentage increase of the lot at each level.
• Set Max Levels: maximum number of orders the grid can reach.
• Click Calculate: you will see exposure, estimated drawdown, and level-by-level charts.

How to read the results:

📊 Exposure:

• Total Lot (cumulative): sum of all lot sizes opened up to the selected maximum level.
  Indicates the total grid exposure.
• Last Level Lot: lot size of the last grid order (the largest one with martingale).
• Total Distance (pips): distance between the first order and the last level reached.

⚠️ Risk:

• Estimated DD (€): theoretical loss if price moves against the position up to the last level, without any retracement.
• Estimated DD (%): the same loss expressed as a percentage of the entered capital
  

The simulator shows a theoretical worst-case scenario, useful for evaluating maximum capital pressure before applying a real grid strategy.

🎯 Recommendations to stay within the selected tolerance:

• Recommended Capital: minimum capital required to remain within the drawdown limit of the selected profile.
• Recommended Start Lot: maximum suggested starting lot size to remain within the selected profile using the entered capital.
  If it falls below 0.01, “Min lot 0.01” appears because many brokers do not allow smaller lot sizes.